DANHOLMCOLLECTION
Central Florida Market Intelligence

Windermere Single-Family Market Report

September 2026
REPORT PERIODAugust 1, 2025 – August 31, 2026CURRENT INVENTORY SNAPSHOTSeptember 19, 2026PROPERTY TYPESingle Family Homes
Market in one sentence

In Windermere (34786), closed-buyer activity rose 27.9% in the latest six months while the aggregate median days to contract shortened from 46 to 34 days; median sale price fell 3.7% as median sold price per square foot rose 7.3%.

589
Real Buyers
13-month closed transactions
179
Current Listings
Snapshot · September 19, 2026
32
Pending Listings
Snapshot · September 19, 2026
3.9
Months of Supply
Based on latest 12 months
$990,000
Median Sale Price
13-month closed transactions
$308.02
Median Sold $/SF
13-month closed transactions
40
Median Days to Contract
13-month closed transactions
33.3%
Cash Transactions
196 of 589 Real Buyers
13-month trend

What is changing

6-month comparison Previous 6 mos. Latest 6 mos. Change
Cash Share 34.6% 31.9% ↓ −2.7 pt
Real Buyers 240 307 ↑ +27.9%
Median Sold $/SF $298.41 $320.19 ↑ +7.3%
Median Sale Price $1,012,082 $975,000 ↓ −3.7%
Median Sale Price / Last List Price 97.0% 97.0% → +0.0 pt
Median Days to Contract 46 34 ↓ 12 days
Market depth

Where the buyers are

Price Band Current Listings Pending Listings Real Buyers 13 mos. Avg. Monthly Months of Supply
$0 - $499,999 4 2 29 2.3 1.7
$500,000 - $749,999 42 9 165 12.8 3.3
$750,000 - $999,999 23 5 101 7.9 2.9
$1,000,000 - $1,999,999 45 10 186 14.1 3.2
$2,000,000 - $3,999,999 36 4 75 6.1 5.9
$4,000,000 - $5,999,999 11 2 18 1.3 8.3
$6,000,000 - $7,999,999 8 0 9 0.6 13.7
$8,000,000 - $9,999,999 1 0 3 0.3 4.0
$10,000,000+ 9 0 3 0.3 36.0

Market Activity & Supply by Price Band

Market Activity & Supply by Price Band Avg Monthly Real Buyers Current Listings Pending Listings $0–$499K 2.3 4 2 $500K–$749K 12.8 42 9 $750K–$999K 7.9 23 5 $1M–$1.99M 14.1 45 10 $2M–$3.99M 6.1 36 4 $4M–$5.99M 1.3 11 2 $6M–$7.99M 0.6 8 0 $8M–$9.99M 0.3 1 0 $10M+ 0.3 9 0

Months of Supply by Price Band

Months of Supply by Price Band $0–$499K 1.7 $500K–$749K 3.3 $750K–$999K 2.9 $1M–$1.99M 3.2 $2M–$3.99M 5.9 $4M–$5.99M 8.3 $6M–$7.99M 13.7 $8M–$9.99M 4 $10M+ 36
Closed-sale behavior

How transactions are clearing

Price Band Real Buyers Median Sale Price Median Sold $/SF Median DTC Sale / Last List Cash Cash Share
$0 - $499,999 29 $480,000 $253.20 32 96.0% 12 41.4%
$500,000 - $749,999 165 $620,000 $246.65 27 98.0% 44 26.7%
$750,000 - $999,999 101 $850,000 $292.21 46 98.0% 41 40.6%
$1,000,000 - $1,999,999 186 $1,263,750 $360.92 33 96.0% 58 31.2%
$2,000,000 - $3,999,999 75 $2,583,750 $489.83 96 95.0% 31 41.3%
$4,000,000 - $5,999,999 18 $4,700,000 $677.58 70 95.0% 4 22.2%
$6,000,000 - $7,999,999 9 $6,600,000 $799.29 143 92.0% 4 44.4%
$8,000,000 - $9,999,999 3 $8,500,000 $745.42 8 97.0% 1 33.3%
$10,000,000+ 3 $11,500,000 $1,192.30 59 85.0% 1 33.3%

Market Time by Price Band

Market Time by Price Band Median DTC (Real Buyers) Median Active CDOM $0–$499K 32 54 $500K–$749K 27 61 $750K–$999K 46 94 $1M–$1.99M 33 112 $2M–$3.99M 96 99.5 $4M–$5.99M 70 140 $6M–$7.99M 143 78 $8M–$9.99M 8 330 $10M+ 59 100

Median Sale Price / Last List Price by Price Band

Median Sale Price / Last List Price by Price Band Scale: 83–100% $0–$499K 96.0% $500K–$749K 98.0% $750K–$999K 98.0% $1M–$1.99M 96.0% $2M–$3.99M 95.0% $4M–$5.99M 95.0% $6M–$7.99M 92.0% $8M–$9.99M 97.0% $10M+ 85.0%
Listing outcomes

MLS Listing Outcomes

MLS Listing Outcomes by Price Band

MLS Listing Outcomes by Price Band Closed Expired Cancelled $0–$499K 94% 6% $500K–$749K 74% 7% 18% $750K–$999K 65% 12% 23% $1M–$1.99M 72% 23% $2M–$3.99M 59% 11% 30% $4M–$5.99M 55% 9% 36% $6M–$7.99M 64% 7% 29% $8M–$9.99M 50% 17% 33% $10M+ 38% 63%

What the outcomes show

Observed MLS listing outcomes are not probabilities and may include more than one record for the same property. The highest closed shares were recorded below $500,000 (94%), from $500,000–$749,999 (74%), and from $1,000,000–$1,999,999 (72%). At $10M+, three of eight observed outcome records were closed and five were canceled. With only eight records, that result should be treated as a factual observation, not a failure rate or a prediction of future listing outcomes.

Bent’s analysis

What the Numbers Mean

Closed-buyer activity increased from 240 in the previous six months to 307 in the latest six months, an increase of 27.9%. Over the same periods, aggregate median days to contract shortened from 46 to 34 days. Pricing moved in different directions: median sale price declined 3.7% to $975,000, while median sold price per square foot increased 7.3% to $320.19. The median sale-to-last-list ratio remained 97%, and cash share declined from 34.6% to 31.9%. Current inventory stands at 179 active listings, equal to 3.9 months of supply using the latest 12-month closing pace. Conditions vary materially by price band. The $1M–$1.99M band combines the deepest transaction activity among the luxury bands with 3.2 months of supply, while supply rises to 5.9 months at $2M–$3.99M, 8.3 months at $4M–$5.99M, and 13.7 months at $6M–$7.99M. The $10M+ reading is 36 months, but it is based on only three closed transactions and should be treated as a thin-sample observation. Active inventory has also been exposed longer than successfully closed properties in several well-sampled bands. The largest clear gaps include $1M–$1.99M (112 days active CDOM versus 33 median closed DTC) and $4M–$5.99M (140 versus 70), with meaningful differences also present in $750K–$999K and $500K–$749K. This describes differing market exposure; it does not establish the cause.

For Sellers

Market conditions change materially as price rises. The $1M–$1.99M band recorded 186 closed transactions with 3.2 months of supply, giving it substantially more transaction depth than several higher tiers. Supply rises to 5.9 months at $2M–$3.99M, 8.3 months at $4M–$5.99M, and 13.7 months at $6M–$7.99M, while transaction counts become progressively smaller. At $10M+, nine current listings and a latest-12-month closing pace based on three sales produce a 36-month supply reading. Because that closing sample contains only three transactions, treat the figure as a factual snapshot rather than a stable market rate. As values rise and samples thin, the property's immediate competitive set and individual comparable properties should carry more weight than ZIP-code-wide medians.

For Buyers

Competition is relatively stronger in $1M–$1.99M, $500K–$749K, and $750K–$999K, where transaction depth is higher and supply is tighter. Above $2M, higher supply and generally longer market times may create more room for negotiation, although the evidence becomes progressively thinner. The $10M+ band is a notable thin-sample observation: nine current listings, 36 months of supply, and an 85% median sale-to-last-list ratio across only three closed transactions. Those figures point to buyer-favorable conditions in the observed sample, but three sales are not sufficient to treat them as a stable benchmark. Compare each property with the active competitive set and the most relevant recent transactions rather than relying on the overall Windermere median.

Methodology

Data notes

Real Buyers are closed MLS listings with a valid Close Date inside the inclusive report period.

Current Listings count strict ACT status only; pending statuses are reported separately.

The report uses 13 months of closed-sale data for full-period statistics and monthly trend context. Months of Supply uses the monthly pace of closed buyers in the latest 12 complete calendar months within that 13-month window.

Months of Supply equals ACT listings divided by that monthly pace (ACT / monthly pace).

Price bands use lower-inclusive and upper-exclusive boundaries; the final $10,000,000+ band is open-ended.

Medians ignore missing or invalid values and average the two middle observations for even samples.

MLS Listing Outcomes summarize observed SLD, EXP, and CAN records; they are not probabilities and may include more than one record for the same property.

Bent Danholm · Broker / Owner · DANHOLM COLLECTION© 2026 Bent Danholm | DANHOLM COLLECTION. All rights reserved.